This week’s guest is Team
Granese’s current player of the week Doug Cohen. No one has been more
responsible in taking this league to another level, statistics wise, so I’m
very honored to have his commentary for tonight’s games. Although we have very similar
predictions, I like how we took different routes to get to the conclusions.
Lapine v. Wallman
Doug’s Take: Team Wallman is coming off a disappointing loss to Granese on Sunday
and will be looking to right the ship quick. While this Brock Farm team
is as good as anyone, they seem to play to the level of their competition each week.
Team Lapine's rookie sensations still have their rough Wednesday
night loss to Jacoby a few weeks ago fresh on their mind, and they will be
looking for redemption under the lights. If they have Callow (and Dennis
doesn't have trouble in RF), they will be tough to beat.
Will Captain Wallman let Uncle Leo pitch to Seidenberg? If they
do, this could be a shoot out. I expect the fences to be lined for this battle
of Law firms.
Doug’s Prediction: Wallman 14 - Lapine 12
Mitch’s Take: This game features two teams who are not
living up to expectations. These two clubs are identical in record and nearly
identical in run differential. So where is there an edge? It comes down to the
Union Hill Factor. I’ve given some thought as to what this means. I used to
think the field gives an edge to power hitting teams who may not be as strong
as defense. I used to assume the field would minimize defensive shortcomings. In
this regard, Lapine would have the advantage.
But instead, I’m realizing what may be a more accurate
reading of “The Union Hill Factor” or more precisely “The Wednesday Night Union
Hill Factor”. Teams with experienced and skilled outfielders have a significant
advantage playing in the tricky lights. We’re seen numerous times already this
year when the lights have caused outfielders to completely misplay a flyball.
It is here that Wallman has the edge and where the difference will be felt.
Mitch’s Prediction: Wallman
14 -Lapine 10
Carlin v. Marrone
Doug’s Take- Team Carlin is currently the hottest team in the league and they
will be looking to make it 5 W's in a row on Wednesday night. After some ugly
injury problems, Team Marrone is getting healthier and have strung together
back to back victories for the first time this season.. In this highly
anticipated R.Carlin v M.Carlin re-matchup, Team Marrone will be looking
for revenge from their earlier season 19-8 swim club drubbing.. That was
the week that the Team Marrone problems began (Glen's broken foot and
Herman's bike accident), so a win in primetime might get them back on
track. Will Glen be pitching with duck tape around his foot again?? If he is
truly healthy, then I see can this team notching many more wins, but I don't
think it happens on
Wednesday night. Always go with the hotter team on
a streak.
Doug’s Prediction: Carlin 10 - Marrone 7
Mitch’s Take- After already commentating on my newfound
belief that Wednesday night games favor sound defensive teams more than I
originally thought, I’ll keep my comments about this game short. While Marrone’s
defense has improved vastly over the past two games, I’m not confident that
they’ll keep it up over the long run. Old habits die hard. This is a Carlin
team that will force the issue; they’ll make fielders make the extra throws and
thus will take advantage of Team Marrone’s weakness. I think Marrone has enough
bats to make it interesting, but in the end we’re starting to realize Team
Carlin’s 7-2 record is not an accident.
Mitch’s Prediction- Carlin
18 -Marrone 12
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