Saturday, August 18, 2012

Week 18 Power Rankings

                                                           Week 18 Power Rankings


1.       Younger(1)- The only question for this team whether or  not they had enough offense. 46 runs in their last 2 games seems to have answered that question.

2.       Feldman(4)- Not only have they won 10 out of their last 11 games but they are making it look easy. Their last 8 victories have been by a margin of four or more runs.

3.       Pollock(3)- It’s been a consistently great season for the defending champs. We have a league best 5-2 record against teams with a running record- a good sign for the playoffs.

4.       Lapine(5)- An impressive doubleheader including a 20 run victory over Sarcona and a win against a dangerous Team Mamone earns them a spot in the top four this week. Underrated all season, they still have a legitimate chance at the top seed in the American League.

5.       Wallman(2)- Dropping three spots in one week may seem excessive but this is really just a result of how the other top teams played last Sunday in addition to Wallman’s loss. This is going to be the first season in awhile where the Bykofskys were not on the team with the best regular season record.

6.       Goldfarb(7)-  While I think there is a dropoff after the top 5, the move to #6 for Goldfarb is quite an accomplishment. Since being placed at #16 on the power rankings, they’ve gone 9-4 and are positioning themselves as a dark horse in the playoffs. There’s one problem: a 2-7 record against above .500 teams.

7.       Harris(6)- I was tempted to drop Harris to the 8th spot, but I believe they’re a much better team than their last four games represents. Still, a -40 run differential in their last five games is very alarming even if they were missing some players. Harris needs to build some momentum going into the playoffs if they are going to avoid an early exit.

8.       Carlin(10)- Team Carlin is like a monster in a horror movie that you’re never going to be relieved until you KNOW it’s dead. They have one of the two or three best offensive players in the league(Brad), the AL’s top average hitter(Darren), another player on the leaderboard in almost every offensive category(Marc), and a guy who batted over .700 last year(Ronnie). With three wins in their last four games, they may be finally playing up to their abilities. The fact that they have a chance of going in as a 7th seed is horrible news for the runner up to the AL crown.

9.        Applebaum(8)- It may seem odd that a division leader is ranked this low, but that’s what happens when you’re fortunate enough to play in the NL East. Ever since that 5-0 start, Team Applebaum is just 6-9. The good news is that winning their division earns them the #2 seed and a likely berth into the elite 8.

10.   Mamone(9)- Just lke Carlin, Mamone is a team that nobody wants to face in the playoffs. As their very convincing win versus Wallman shows, they can be dangerous when playing up to their potential.

11.   Sarcona(11)- At 6-4 I suggested that their record was slightly better than where I think the team should be. Since then they’ve gone2-5 with a -40 run differential. In fairness, their 4 game losing streak includes 3 games against division leaders.

12.   Beilis(13)- Case in point that the AL features no bad team. Sure Beilis is 5-14, but take a closer look at the numbers. They actually have a positive run differential in their last 10 games despite a 3-7 record during that stretch. They’ve beaten the #2 AL team, Lapine, TWICE this season and barely lost to league leading Team Pollock(by one run) and division leader Team Applebaum(an 11 inning affair).

13.   Jacoby(15)- This is only the second time this season Team Jacoby has been higher than #14 on the power rankings.  It may take more than victories against Randell and Schefkind to start thinking “playoff run” but there are definitely huge positives to build on from these games. The problem is even if they continue this streak, they’ll be locked into playing a very tough opponent in the playoffs.

14.   Randell(16)- A very convincing win over Granese salvaged Randell from the #16 spot. For one game, their defense looked respectable. This snapped a seven consecutive game streak in which they gave up double digit runs. No other team has had a streak of more than five games all season.

15.   Granese(12)- It wasn’t too long ago that Granese was 7-8 and had a defense capable of keeping them in any game. All of a sudden, they stopped fielding the ball and their dormant offense has yet to wake up. In their last five games, Granese has given up an average of 15.2 runs per game. In the five games before that, their average runs against were 4.2 runs per game. Meanwhile, they’ve now been held to 7 or fewer runs in an astounding 10 consecutive games. No other team has gone more than 5 games in a row with that total.

16.   Schefkind(14)- Every year there seems to be a team who collapses by the end of the season due to injuries. Right now it looks like Schefkind is that team. Losers of 9 of their last 10 games, they’ve been outscored 60-12 in their last three. Something has to give when they square off against Team Granese this Sunday.

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