Thursday, June 16, 2011

AL vs. NL Runs Scored/ Sunday Predictions

Teams may have been arbitrarily been placed in the American League or National League, but there certainly has been a great divide between the two leagues this year. Staying true to their MLB counterparts, the AL has earned the reputation as home of the slugfest while the NL prides itself on defense. The top scoring NL team would have the 7th best offense in the AL while the best defensive AL team would only have the 6th best in that category in the NL. With the second week of interleague games coming up this Sunday, I thought I’d look at the runs scored numbers for both leagues.

So far there have been 64 games played. 56 of these have been intraleague (AL vs. AL/ NL vs.NL) while the other 8 have been interleague. Here are the runs scored totals for all intraleague games:

NL= 6.25 runs per game
AL= 10.07 runs per game

Last week was the first full week of interleague games. Here are the runs scored statistics based on the 8 NL vs. AL games so far this season:

NL= 8.38 runs per game
AL= 9.38 runs per game

It’s interesting that when the two teams play each other, the runs scored gap between the two leagues shrinks. Maybe the answer is simply the NL has better defense than the AL. Maybe the answer is it’s only been 8 games. It’ll be interesting (at least to me) to see how these numbers change after Sunday.

Although the AL is scoring one run more per game than the NL in interleague games, they are only 3-5 in these matchups. This week I’m going to support my fellow American League teams and predict them to win almost all of this week’s games. I think the AL will continue to score runs in bunches and those incredible NL runs against averages will begin to rise. Here are my quick predictions:

Projected winner in bold:

Carlin vs. Beilis
Wallman vs. Granese
Feldman vs. Applebaum
Peragine vs. Sarcona
Schefkind vs. Harris
Goldfarb vs. Randell
Spiegel vs. Lapine

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